“The Democrats are more radically liberal and irresponsible than they have been at any time since 1933. The damage they will do to every aspect of federal action over the next two, four or six years will be substantial—perhaps grave. For me, defeating that danger is the highest priority. After the election, beating up backsliding Republicans will be a task I will return to with relish.” — Tony Blankley
We are still eight months from the Iowa caucuses and seventeen months from the next general election. The media is playing the “what if game” with possible and potential candidates for the Republican Party’s next presidential candidate. This is what the media and political junkies do. It’s their way of earning a living.
Before we continue let’s take a look at pervious years and see the candidates that were running for the GOP nomination. If you are old enough to remember some of these candidates you might get a chuckle or two out of the list. The eventual nominees are shown in bold type. [Source: Eric Erickson of Red States]
In 1964 we had:
Hiram Fong of Hawaii
Barry Goldwater of Arizona
Walter Henry Judd of Maryland
Henry Cabot Lodge, Jr. of Massachusetts
Nelson Rockefeller of New York
George Romney of Michigan
William Scranton of Pennsylvania
Margaret Chase Smith of Maine
Harold Stassen of Minnesota
In 1968 we had:
Frank Carlson of Kansas
Clifford Case of New Jersey
John Lindsay of New York
Richard Nixon, then of New York
Ronald Reagan of California
Jim Rhodes of Ohio
George Romney of Michigan
Nelson Rockefeller of New York
Winthrop Rockefeller of Arkansas
Harold Stassen of Minnesota
John Volpe of Massachusetts
In 1980 we had:
John Anderson of Illinois
Howard Baker of Tennessee
George H. W. Bush of Texas
John Connally of Texas
Phil Crane of Illinois
Bob Dole of Kansas
Larry Pressler of South Dakota
Ronald Reagan of California
Harold Stassen of Pennsylvania
Lowell Weicker of Connecticut
In 1988 we had:
George H. W. Bush of Texas
Bob Dole of Kansas
Pierre S. du Pont, IV of Delaware
Alexander Haig of Pennsylvania
Jack Kemp of New York
Paul Laxalt of Nevada
Harold Stassen of Minnesota
Pat Robertson of Virginia
In 1996 we had:
Lamar Alexander of Tennessee
Pat Buchanan of Virginia
Bob Dole of Kansas
Robert K. Dornan of California
Steve Forbes of New York
Phil Gramm of Texas
Alan Keyes of Maryland
Richard Lugar of Indiana
Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania
Morry Taylor of Ohio
Pete Wilson of California
In 2000, we had:
Lamar Alexander of Tennessee
Gary Bauer of Kentucky
Pat Buchanan of Virginia
George W. Bush of Texas
Elizabeth Dole of North Carolina
Steve Forbes of New York
Orrin Hatch of Utah
John Kasich of Ohio
Alan Keyes of Maryland
John McCain of Arizona
Dan Qualye of Indiana
Bob Smith of New Hampshire
In 2008, we had:
Sam Brownback of Kansas
Mike Huckabee of Arkansas
Jim Gilmore of Virginia
Rudy Giuliani of New York
Duncan Hunter of California
Alan Keyes of Maryland
John McCain of Arizona
Mitt Romney of Massachusetts
Ron Paul of Texas
Tom Tancredo of Colorado
Fred Thompson of Tennessee
Tommy Thompson of Wisconsin
This year so far we have:
Michele Bachmann of Minnesota
Herman Cain of Georgia
Newt Gingrich of Georgia
Jon Huntsman of Utah
Gary Johnson of New Mexico
Ron Paul of Texas
Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota
Mitt Romney of Massachusetts
Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania
Some of them dropped out before the primaries, some after, and some garnered votes at the convention without doing much. But looking at the field, 2012 doesn’t seem more or less weak than most of the others.
Right now the front runner in all of the polls, even though he has not officially announced his candidacy is Mitt Romney. The candidate that seems to be drawing most of the attention from the media and a favorite of the Tea Parties is Herman Cain. No doubt the smartest of all the candidates is Newt Gingrich, but the ex-Speaker of the House has done irreparable damage to his candidacy in the past week with his remarks on Meet the Press two Sundays ago regarding Paul Ryan and his plans to reform Medicare.
All of the other candidates are ranging in the 8%-10% range in the polls with 87% of potential GOP voters saying they do not know who they will vote for.
As a conservative I like Herman Cane and I wish him well. I like his style and I like what he has to say, but I also know it is doubtful he can raise the money it will take to beat Obama in the general election — and the smart GOP donors know this.
Last week Romney spent one day in Las Vegas at a fund raiser and he walked away with over $10 million in donations. This is what will be needed to take on Obama in the 2012 general election. Obama plans to raise $1 billion dollars. And he probably will.
Romney is a business man and a former governor. He was tested in 2008 and most of his skeletons are out of the closet. The only real issue he has is his signing the Romney Care bill in Massachusetts. He can deal with his in a simple manner by stating he will sign, if passed, the repeal of ObamaCare the big issue with the Tea Party.
Romney is a slick, good looking candidate who no doubt will be able to handle Obama in debates, especially on the economy and job creation. As a former Republican governor blue state he will be able to play on that experience and claim he was able to get partisan side to work with each other.
I realize many of my conservative friends do not much care for Romney — neither do I, but I believe the stakes are too high to play long ball in 2012. If the GOP, with the support of the Tea Parties, take back the Senate and elect a Republican president in 2012 we will move the ball well down the field. The pressure from a conservative House and Senate will drive the legislation and all we really need from the president is his pen. This is why we need Obama out and a Republican in.
I am not the biggest fan of Romney, but when I look over the field of GOP candidates I do not see any of them rising to the top except Romney. I know the Tea Party folks will not be happy with this, but I remind them that before you can do anything you need to get elected. I Republican controlled House and Senate with a Republican in the oval office is the goal for 2012. Romney is smart enough to know, if elected he has he conservatives to answer to.
We have another year to watch the field thin out and someone rise to the top. I just hope it is someone that can capture the votes of the independents and not a lack luster John McCain. If it is true that America is a center-right nation than we need a center right candidate in 2012. We need a candidate that can generate some passion in the voters — especially the Tea Party voters.
I could be wrong, but this is the way I see the 2012 election shaping up today.
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